Interventions and the do-operator

What it means, mathematically, to set a variable. Graph surgery, P(y | do(x)) versus P(y | x), the backdoor adjustment formula derived from scratch, the front-door trick for hidden confounders, the do-calculus, and a first counterfactual.

50 min

After this lesson you can

  • Define an intervention as a modification of a structural causal model, and draw the surgered graph
  • Explain in words and symbols why P(y | do(x)) and P(y | x) differ
  • Derive the backdoor adjustment formula and apply it to data
  • State the front-door criterion and compute a front-door estimate
  • Say what the do-calculus is for, and what identifiability means
  • Compute a counterfactual in a simple structural model with abduction, action and prediction

In this lesson

  1. Setting a variable is editing the model
  2. Seeing it on data
  3. The backdoor adjustment formula
  4. When the confounder is hidden: the front door
  5. The do-calculus and identifiability
  6. The third rung: counterfactuals

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